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Agarkov N.M.

South West State University, Kursk, Russia, Belgorod State National Research University, Belgorod, Russia

Gontarev S.N.

South West State University, Kursk, Russia, Belgorod State National Research University, Belgorod, Russia

Lutsenko V.D.

Belgorodskiĭ gosudarstvennyĭ natsional'nyĭ issledovatel'skiĭ universitet;
Munitsipal'noe biudzhetnoe uchrezhdenie zdravookhraneniia "Gorodskaia bol'nitsa # 2 g. Belgoroda"

Yakovlev A.P.

South West State University, Kursk, Russia, Belgorod State National Research University, Belgorod, Russia

Ivanov A.V.

Republican Bureau of Forensic Medical Examination of the Ministry of Health of Chuvashia, Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russia

Mathematical-cartographic modeling and forecasting of caries and acute apical periodontitis incidence in pediatric population

Authors:

Agarkov N.M., Gontarev S.N., Lutsenko V.D., Yakovlev A.P., Ivanov A.V.

More about the authors

Journal: Stomatology. 2017;96(6): 48‑55

DOI: 10.17116/stomat201796648-55

Views: 471

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Table of contents

MATHEMATICAL-CARTOGRAPHIC MODELING AND FORECASTING OF CARIES AND ACUTE APICAL PERIODONTITIS INCIDENCE IN PEDIATRIC POPULATION
MATHEMATICAL-CARTOGRAPHIC MODELING AND FORECASTING OF CARIES AND ACUTE APICAL PERIODONTITIS INCIDENCE IN PEDIATRIC POPULATION

To cite this article:

Agarkov NM, Gontarev SN, Lutsenko VD, Yakovlev AP, Ivanov AV. Mathematical-cartographic modeling and forecasting of caries and acute apical periodontitis incidence in pediatric population. Stomatology. 2017;96(6):48‑55. (In Russ.)
https://doi.org/10.17116/stomat201796648-55

Подписка 2025-2 (Stomatology)
 
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The paper presents the results of mathematical-cartographic simulation study of the incidence of caries and acute apical periodontitis in pediatric population of Belgorod region. The Borisov district was found to be the most unfavorable area of the region with the highest incidence of the diseases. The forecast indicates an increase in the incidence of caries in children by 181.1 cases and acute apical periodontitis by 15.00 cases per 1.000 children annually in the coming years. The incidence of acute apical periodontitis is influenced by the excess of maximum permissible concentration of phenol and soot in atmospheric air, forming a homogenous cluster.

Keywords:

acute apical periodontitis
dental caries in children
morbidity
mathematical and cartographic analysis
forecasting incidence

Authors:

Agarkov N.M.

South West State University, Kursk, Russia, Belgorod State National Research University, Belgorod, Russia

Gontarev S.N.

South West State University, Kursk, Russia, Belgorod State National Research University, Belgorod, Russia

Lutsenko V.D.

Belgorodskiĭ gosudarstvennyĭ natsional'nyĭ issledovatel'skiĭ universitet;
Munitsipal'noe biudzhetnoe uchrezhdenie zdravookhraneniia "Gorodskaia bol'nitsa # 2 g. Belgoroda"

Yakovlev A.P.

South West State University, Kursk, Russia, Belgorod State National Research University, Belgorod, Russia

Ivanov A.V.

Republican Bureau of Forensic Medical Examination of the Ministry of Health of Chuvashia, Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russia

List of references:

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  2. Agarkov NM, Hadarcev AA, Gontarev SN, Bogdanov MV. Time analysis of dental morbidity of children in the Belgorod region. Vestnik novyh medicinskih tehnologij. 2006;13(2):146-147. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.12737/issn.1609-2163
  3. Agarkov NM Zabrovskij AN, Shamanov AV. Mathematical-cartographic study of cancer incidence. Vestnik novyh medicinskih tehnologij. 2009; 16(4):196-197. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.12737/issn.1609-2163
  4. Agarkov NM, Kutsenko GI, Vyalkov AI, Yakovlev AP. Public health and health care. M.: TNT; 2010;9(1):106-108. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.13733/issn.1682-6523
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  9. Gunenkova IV. Statistical reporting in orthodontics in medical-preventive establishments of the Russian Federation. Materialy XII i XIII vserossijskih nauchno-prakticheskih konferencij i Trudy IX sуezda Stomatologicheskoj Associacii Rossii; Maj 17—18, 2004. M.: 121-123. (In Russ.)
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