Purpose of the study. To improve perinatal outcomes in women with varicose veins of the lower extremities by using the developed method for predicting of placental disorders at the stage of pregnancy planning.
MATERIAL AND METHODS
To develop a mathematical model for predicting placental insufficiency in patients with varicose veins of the lower extremities, we examined 128 women with chronic diseases of the veins of the lower extremities who applied to prepare for a planned pregnancy, who underwent a comprehensive assessment of clinical and laboratory parameters, including levels of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), endothelin-1, C-reactive protein (CRP), vitamin 25(OH)D, parameters of the hemostatic system.
RESULTS
The following indicators have high prognostic significance: VEGF >25.75 pg/ml (sensitivity 89.4%, specificity 76.5%), endothelial-on-1 >4.75 pg/ml (sensitivity 78.7%, specificity 66.7%), CRP >4.05 mg/l (sensitivity 78.7%, specificity 71.6%), fibrinogen >4.715 g/ml (sensitivity 72.6%, specificity 70.4%), D-dimers >141 ng/ml (sensitivity 72.3%, specificity 67.9%), vitamin D (25-OH vitamin D) <10.5 ng/ml (sensitivity 74.2%, specificity 67, 9%). A mathematical model was developed based on the determination of a set of clinical and laboratory parameters (area under the curve — AUC=0.94, 95% confidence interval 0.842—0.956; p<0.001). The optimal binary classification threshold is a cutoff point of 0.581. The probability of developing of placental insufficiency should be considered high if the specified threshold value is exceeded.
CONCLUSION
The use of the method for determining the probability of developing of placental insufficiency in women with varicose veins of the lower extremities allows, at the stage of preparation for a planned pregnancy, to carry out the most effective therapeutic and preventive measures aimingly in order to improve perinatal outcomes.